Split vs Zadar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.9%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.3%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.2%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.9%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.6%
16.5%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Split
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 2015 |
HKS
1 - 1
SPL
64%
21%
15%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2015 |
HKS
1 - 2
SPL
66%
21%
13%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2015 |
SPL
0 - 1
LOK
45%
25%
30%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 2015 |
ZAD
1 - 4
SPL
32%
26%
43%
|
75 | 62 | 13 | +1 |
| 13 Mar. 2015 |
ZAG
1 - 2
SPL
44%
27%
29%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Zadar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2015 |
LOK
1 - 5
ZAD
68%
19%
13%
|
62 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
ZAD
1 - 0
SLA
38%
26%
36%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2015 |
ZAD
1 - 4
SPL
32%
26%
43%
|
62 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
RIJ
4 - 0
ZAD
77%
15%
8%
|
63 | 81 | 18 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
ZAD
2 - 0
IST
39%
26%
35%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | +2 |