Split vs Zadar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.2%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.3%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.8%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.3%
14.5%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.3%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Split
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2014 |
SEG
0 - 2
SPL
17%
24%
60%
|
75 | 53 | 22 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2014 |
SPL
1 - 1
HKS
36%
26%
38%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2014 |
SPL
2 - 2
LOK
51%
25%
24%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 2014 |
ZAG
2 - 1
SPL
37%
28%
36%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 2014 |
TOR
1 - 0
SPL
64%
21%
15%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Zadar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2014 |
ZAG
1 - 5
ZAD
10%
18%
71%
|
62 | 30 | 32 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2014 |
LOK
0 - 1
ZAD
66%
20%
15%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
ZAD
4 - 0
SLA
44%
26%
31%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | +2 |
| 31 Aug. 2014 |
RIJ
6 - 1
ZAD
81%
14%
5%
|
60 | 83 | 23 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2014 |
ZAD
1 - 1
IST
35%
27%
38%
|
60 | 69 | 9 | 0 |