Split vs Zadar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.3%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.4%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
12%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.5%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
20.7%
13%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Split
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2014 |
DZG
2 - 1
SPL
69%
20%
12%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2014 |
SPL
1 - 2
HKS
38%
26%
36%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | +1 |
| 14 Dec. 2013 |
IST
2 - 0
SPL
35%
29%
36%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | -1 |
| 07 Dec. 2013 |
SPL
0 - 0
SLA
62%
23%
16%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2013 |
SPL
3 - 0
LOK
47%
26%
27%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Zadar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2014 |
ZAD
1 - 0
RIJ
23%
25%
52%
|
62 | 76 | 14 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2014 |
ZAD
3 - 1
OSI
49%
26%
26%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | +2 |
| 15 Dec. 2013 |
DZG
3 - 1
ZAD
81%
14%
5%
|
61 | 83 | 22 | -1 |
| 09 Dec. 2013 |
ZAD
1 - 1
HKS
19%
25%
56%
|
61 | 79 | 18 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2013 |
ZAD
0 - 2
IST
38%
26%
36%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | -2 |