Split vs Zadar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67.4%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.7%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.3%
2-0
13.5%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.8%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
20.3%
12.3%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Split
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2012 |
SPL
1 - 0
INT
65%
21%
14%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
IST
1 - 0
SPL
35%
29%
36%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2012 |
SPL
3 - 1
HNK
58%
24%
18%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | +1 |
| 12 Aug. 2012 |
DZG
4 - 2
SPL
69%
20%
11%
|
73 | 84 | 11 | -1 |
| 05 Aug. 2012 |
SPL
2 - 0
SLA
46%
27%
27%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Zadar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2012 |
ZAD
1 - 1
IST
38%
28%
34%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
HNK
0 - 0
ZAD
58%
24%
18%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | +1 |
| 18 Aug. 2012 |
ZAD
1 - 3
DZG
13%
22%
65%
|
62 | 84 | 22 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2012 |
SLA
2 - 0
ZAD
72%
18%
10%
|
63 | 75 | 12 | -1 |
| 05 Aug. 2012 |
ZAD
2 - 4
HKS
22%
27%
52%
|
64 | 79 | 15 | -1 |