Split vs Zadar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.4%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.9%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.1%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.6%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.6%
15%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Split
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
HNS
1 - 2
SPL
32%
29%
40%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2011 |
SPL
5 - 0
SEG
81%
14%
6%
|
75 | 39 | 36 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2011 |
SPL
1 - 0
LOK
60%
23%
17%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2011 |
NKV
1 - 2
SPL
41%
27%
32%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 2011 |
SPL
1 - 1
HKS
34%
27%
39%
|
74 | 82 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Zadar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
ZAD
1 - 0
ZAG
41%
27%
33%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2011 |
ZAD
1 - 1
KAR
46%
26%
28%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2011 |
IST
1 - 1
ZAD
42%
27%
31%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2011 |
ZAD
4 - 4
RIJ
35%
28%
37%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2011 |
INT
2 - 0
ZAD
53%
25%
23%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | -1 |