Split vs Val Kaštel Stari analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
79.2%
Win probability
2.43
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.5%
4-0
7.4%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.6%
3-0
12.2%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.8%
2-0
15.1%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.9%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
14.4%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
14.4%
6.4%
Win probability
0.54
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Split
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 2009 |
PRI
0 - 3
SPL
24%
24%
52%
|
52 | 37 | 15 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2009 |
SPL
2 - 0
NKD
68%
19%
13%
|
51 | 42 | 9 | +1 |
| 25 Apr. 2009 |
HVB
1 - 3
SPL
29%
25%
46%
|
51 | 41 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2009 |
SPL
7 - 2
NER
75%
17%
9%
|
50 | 33 | 17 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 2009 |
GOS
0 - 2
SPL
26%
25%
49%
|
50 | 41 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Val Kaštel Stari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 2009 |
VAL
2 - 1
NKD
26%
24%
50%
|
27 | 42 | 15 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2009 |
NER
1 - 0
VAL
55%
23%
22%
|
28 | 31 | 3 | -1 |
| 25 Apr. 2009 |
VAL
3 - 1
NKC
31%
24%
46%
|
26 | 34 | 8 | +2 |
| 18 Apr. 2009 |
NKR
3 - 2
VAL
79%
15%
7%
|
26 | 48 | 22 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2009 |
VAL
1 - 3
NER
34%
25%
41%
|
27 | 37 | 10 | -1 |