Split vs Sloga Mravince analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.2%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.1%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.5%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.4%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
45.1%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.1%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.6%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.3%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-34%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
27
1º
16º
15º
33
5º
12º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
68 | 71 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
64 | 67 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
54 | 57 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
47 | 50 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
46 | 46 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
39 | 42 |
6º
|
62.5% | |
|
6º
|
41 | 41 |
7º
|
47% | |
|
7º
|
40 | 41 |
8º
|
45.5% | |
|
9º
|
37 | 37 |
9º
|
74.5% | |
|
10º
|
36 | 36 |
10º
|
54.5% | |
|
11º
|
34 | 35 |
11º
|
42% | |
|
|
12º
|
33 | 34 |
12º
|
55.5% | |
|
13º
|
31 | 32 |
13º
|
68.5% | |
|
14º
|
30 | 30 |
14º
|
82.5% | |
|
|
15º
|
27 | 28 |
15º
|
95% | |
|
16º
|
21 | 22 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
5% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
95% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Split
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2023 |
NER
4 - 2
SPL
59%
22%
19%
|
30 | 37 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
SPL
2 - 2
KAM
34%
23%
43%
|
30 | 35 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
USK
3 - 1
SPL
61%
20%
19%
|
31 | 36 | 5 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
SPL
5 - 0
VOD
33%
24%
44%
|
28 | 35 | 7 | +3 |
| 27 May. 2023 |
ZAG
2 - 0
SPL
82%
13%
5%
|
29 | 46 | 17 | -1 |
Matches
Sloga Mravince
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2023 |
SMR
0 - 0
OMI
58%
20%
22%
|
39 | 34 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
HNK
1 - 0
SMR
67%
19%
14%
|
40 | 45 | 5 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
SMR
0 - 1
NKH
45%
25%
30%
|
41 | 40 | 1 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
GOS
1 - 3
SMR
37%
26%
37%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | +2 |
| 01 Aug. 2023 |
SOL
1 - 1
SMR
76%
16%
9%
|
39 | 50 | 11 | 0 |