Split vs Segesta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
80.6%
Win probability
2.51
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2%
5-0
4%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5%
4-0
7.9%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.3%
3-0
12.7%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.4%
2-0
15.1%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23%
1-0
12%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
13.6%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
13.6%
5.8%
Win probability
0.53
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
4.6%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Split
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2011 |
SPL
1 - 0
LOK
60%
23%
17%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2011 |
NKV
1 - 2
SPL
41%
27%
32%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 2011 |
SPL
1 - 1
HKS
34%
27%
39%
|
74 | 82 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2011 |
LUK
1 - 2
SPL
30%
29%
42%
|
74 | 61 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2011 |
SPL
2 - 2
OSI
50%
26%
25%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Segesta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2011 |
NKG
4 - 1
SEG
62%
21%
17%
|
40 | 46 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2011 |
SEG
1 - 3
DUB
29%
25%
46%
|
41 | 52 | 11 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2011 |
NEH
2 - 0
SEG
39%
26%
35%
|
43 | 40 | 3 | -2 |
| 03 Sep. 2011 |
SEG
1 - 0
NOV
48%
26%
27%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2011 |
ROV
2 - 2
SEG
54%
23%
23%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | -1 |