Split vs Segesta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.7%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
8%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.6%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.9%
14.4%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
10.2%
0-2
2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+43%
+36%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Split
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2009 |
SPL
2 - 2
RUD
48%
25%
27%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2009 |
POM
4 - 2
SPL
46%
25%
29%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2009 |
SPL
3 - 0
VIN
48%
25%
28%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | +2 |
| 06 Jun. 2009 |
SPL
2 - 0
OMI
79%
14%
6%
|
52 | 34 | 18 | +1 |
| 30 May. 2009 |
ZAG
0 - 3
SPL
21%
24%
56%
|
52 | 36 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Segesta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2009 |
SEG
0 - 2
POM
37%
27%
36%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2009 |
VIN
3 - 1
SEG
62%
22%
17%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2009 |
SEG
0 - 2
MOS
53%
24%
23%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2009 |
MOS
4 - 2
SEG
51%
24%
24%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | -1 |
| 23 May. 2009 |
SEG
0 - 0
SUH
41%
26%
33%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | +1 |