Split vs Segesta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
30.3%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.6%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.2%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.7%
27.9%
Draw
0-0
9.7%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.9%
41.8%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
12.5%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23%
0-2
8%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.3%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+45%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Split
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 1999 |
CAZ
4 - 0
SPL
35%
25%
40%
|
59 | 51 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1999 |
SPL
0 - 1
CAK
49%
25%
26%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | -1 |
| 10 Oct. 1999 |
BEL
5 - 1
SPL
52%
24%
25%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 1999 |
SPL
2 - 1
OTO
71%
18%
11%
|
61 | 46 | 15 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 1999 |
MAR
2 - 1
SPL
64%
21%
15%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Segesta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 1999 |
SEG
1 - 1
ORI
81%
13%
6%
|
74 | 52 | 22 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1999 |
NKC
0 - 5
SEG
26%
28%
47%
|
73 | 52 | 21 | +1 |
| 10 Oct. 1999 |
SEG
1 - 2
ZAG
84%
12%
5%
|
74 | 49 | 25 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 1999 |
SOL
0 - 2
SEG
29%
28%
43%
|
73 | 56 | 17 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 1999 |
SEG
4 - 2
BJE
81%
13%
5%
|
73 | 52 | 21 | 0 |