Split vs NK Varazdin analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.4%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.6%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.2%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
34.4%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Split
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jul. 2010 |
RIJ
1 - 0
SPL
68%
19%
13%
|
66 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2010 |
SPL
1 - 2
MOS
73%
17%
9%
|
68 | 56 | 12 | -2 |
| 22 May. 2010 |
LUK
1 - 0
SPL
32%
26%
42%
|
68 | 58 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2010 |
SPL
2 - 0
JUN
68%
20%
12%
|
68 | 58 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2010 |
SOL
0 - 3
SPL
44%
26%
31%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
NK Varazdin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jul. 2010 |
NKV
2 - 1
ZAD
62%
22%
16%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2010 |
SLA
2 - 3
NKV
60%
22%
18%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2010 |
NKV
1 - 0
ZAD
61%
22%
17%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2010 |
OSI
1 - 1
NKV
55%
25%
20%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2010 |
NKV
4 - 1
NKC
72%
17%
11%
|
70 | 58 | 12 | +1 |