Split vs Urania analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
77.1%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.9%
4-0
6.8%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.7%
3-0
11.7%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
16%
2-0
15.1%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.8%
1-0
13%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
15.7%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
15.7%
7.3%
Win probability
0.56
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5.7%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Split
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2018 |
ZAG
1 - 1
SPL
14%
21%
66%
|
52 | 32 | 20 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2018 |
SPL
5 - 1
PRI
77%
16%
7%
|
52 | 35 | 17 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2018 |
NER
4 - 0
SPL
11%
20%
69%
|
54 | 34 | 20 | -2 |
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
SPL
1 - 2
NER
75%
16%
8%
|
54 | 36 | 18 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2018 |
JAD
3 - 1
SPL
16%
23%
61%
|
55 | 39 | 16 | -1 |
Matches
Urania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2018 |
UBV
3 - 2
GOS
46%
23%
31%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2018 |
ZMI
2 - 0
UBV
65%
18%
17%
|
36 | 41 | 5 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 2018 |
UBV
0 - 1
JAD
28%
26%
47%
|
38 | 45 | 7 | -2 |
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
ZMA
1 - 3
UBV
41%
22%
38%
|
37 | 31 | 6 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2018 |
UBV
1 - 0
HRV
56%
21%
23%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | +2 |