Split vs Kaštel Gomilica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
79.2%
Win probability
2.39
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.3%
4-0
7.4%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.5%
3-0
12.5%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.8%
2-0
15.7%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.1%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
14.6%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
14.6%
6.2%
Win probability
0.51
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
4.9%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Split
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 2008 |
VAL
0 - 4
SPL
14%
21%
65%
|
51 | 23 | 28 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2008 |
SPL
3 - 1
PRI
75%
17%
9%
|
51 | 34 | 17 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2008 |
NKD
0 - 3
SPL
40%
25%
35%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | +1 |
| 18 Oct. 2008 |
SPL
1 - 1
HVB
74%
17%
9%
|
50 | 34 | 16 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2008 |
NER
0 - 0
SPL
19%
23%
58%
|
51 | 33 | 18 | -1 |
Matches
Kaštel Gomilica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 2008 |
PRI
1 - 0
NKG
67%
19%
14%
|
25 | 34 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2008 |
NKG
1 - 1
HVB
31%
25%
44%
|
25 | 36 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2008 |
GOS
3 - 1
NKG
72%
18%
11%
|
25 | 44 | 19 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2008 |
NKG
1 - 1
PRB
28%
24%
48%
|
25 | 38 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2008 |
JAD
4 - 0
NKG
66%
20%
15%
|
25 | 34 | 9 | 0 |