Split vs Neretvanac analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
75.4%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.6%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.3%
3-0
11.1%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.4%
2-0
14.5%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.5%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
16.4%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
16.4%
8.2%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.3%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
-25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Split
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2018 |
JAD
3 - 1
SPL
16%
23%
61%
|
55 | 39 | 16 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2018 |
JUN
2 - 1
SPL
13%
22%
65%
|
56 | 41 | 15 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 2018 |
SPL
1 - 0
IMO
78%
15%
7%
|
56 | 37 | 19 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2018 |
SPL
1 - 1
PRB
64%
21%
14%
|
57 | 45 | 12 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 2018 |
GOS
1 - 0
SPL
8%
19%
73%
|
57 | 35 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
Neretvanac
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2018 |
NER
0 - 0
GOS
56%
22%
23%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2018 |
ZMI
2 - 1
NER
57%
21%
23%
|
36 | 40 | 4 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 2018 |
NER
1 - 0
JAD
38%
23%
38%
|
35 | 41 | 6 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 2018 |
ZMA
2 - 4
NER
49%
21%
30%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 2018 |
NER
2 - 1
HRV
54%
22%
25%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | +1 |