Split vs Neretvanac analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
74.9%
Win probability
2.29
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.6%
4-0
6.2%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.2%
3-0
10.8%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.3%
2-0
14.2%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.3%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
16.5%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
16.5%
8.6%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.5%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Split
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2009 |
GOS
0 - 2
SPL
26%
25%
49%
|
50 | 41 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2009 |
SPL
6 - 1
NKC
72%
18%
10%
|
50 | 34 | 16 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2009 |
PRB
2 - 1
SPL
22%
24%
54%
|
51 | 35 | 16 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 2009 |
SPL
0 - 1
NKR
56%
23%
21%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2009 |
JAD
0 - 2
SPL
23%
24%
53%
|
51 | 37 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Neretvanac
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2009 |
NER
4 - 2
NKC
40%
25%
35%
|
31 | 33 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2009 |
NKR
6 - 1
NER
74%
17%
9%
|
32 | 49 | 17 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 2009 |
NER
1 - 1
NER
43%
25%
32%
|
31 | 35 | 4 | +1 |
| 28 Mar. 2009 |
HRV
1 - 0
NER
55%
23%
23%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | -2 |
| 22 Mar. 2009 |
NER
2 - 2
ZAG
36%
26%
39%
|
32 | 38 | 6 | +1 |