Q. Europa League Preliminary Round Final
Global 3-1
Split vs Mika analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.8%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.5%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
19.8%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Split
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 2014 |
SPL
1 - 1
LOK
50%
25%
25%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2014 |
HDR
3 - 2
SPL
24%
28%
49%
|
74 | 60 | 14 | -1 |
| 03 May. 2014 |
OSI
3 - 1
SPL
32%
28%
40%
|
75 | 65 | 10 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
SPL
2 - 2
RIJ
39%
26%
36%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2014 |
ZAD
0 - 1
SPL
29%
28%
44%
|
74 | 61 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
Mika
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2014 |
BAN
2 - 3
MIK
51%
26%
23%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2014 |
MIK
1 - 1
ALA
50%
26%
24%
|
70 | 61 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2014 |
GAN
1 - 2
MIK
44%
29%
27%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 2014 |
SHI
2 - 0
MIK
56%
25%
19%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 2014 |
MIK
2 - 0
ARA
56%
26%
19%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | +1 |