Split vs Marsonia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
26.3%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.8%
1-0
9%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.8%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
46.8%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
12.9%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.1%
0-2
9.1%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.1%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-40%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Split
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2000 |
SPL
1 - 0
ORI
44%
25%
31%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2000 |
NKC
0 - 0
SPL
45%
25%
31%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2000 |
SPL
0 - 0
ZAG
56%
23%
22%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2000 |
SOL
2 - 1
SPL
47%
25%
29%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 2000 |
SPL
2 - 1
BJE
58%
23%
20%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Marsonia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2000 |
MAR
2 - 1
MOS
69%
20%
12%
|
68 | 57 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2000 |
ORI
0 - 1
MAR
30%
27%
43%
|
67 | 56 | 11 | +1 |
| 30 Mar. 2000 |
MAR
0 - 1
POM
55%
24%
21%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | -1 |
| 26 Mar. 2000 |
NKC
0 - 1
MAR
24%
26%
50%
|
68 | 51 | 17 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2000 |
MAR
2 - 0
VRB
75%
17%
8%
|
67 | 53 | 14 | +1 |