Split vs NK Istra 1961 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.6%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.4%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.1%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
18%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Split
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2014 |
SLA
1 - 2
SPL
34%
27%
39%
|
74 | 63 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2014 |
LOK
0 - 0
SPL
44%
27%
29%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2014 |
SPL
2 - 1
HDR
74%
17%
9%
|
74 | 57 | 17 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2014 |
SPL
1 - 0
OSI
70%
20%
11%
|
74 | 61 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2014 |
RIJ
4 - 1
SPL
50%
26%
25%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
NK Istra 1961
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2014 |
IST
0 - 1
RIJ
27%
27%
46%
|
69 | 78 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2014 |
IST
0 - 1
RIJ
30%
25%
45%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | -1 |
| 22 Mar. 2014 |
IST
0 - 2
ZAD
56%
25%
19%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 2014 |
RIJ
2 - 1
IST
58%
23%
19%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 2014 |
DZG
6 - 0
IST
72%
18%
10%
|
72 | 85 | 13 | 0 |