Split vs HNK Sibenik analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.1%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.1%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.6%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.5%
17.4%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Split
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
LOK
1 - 0
SPL
37%
28%
35%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2012 |
SPL
3 - 1
KAR
72%
18%
9%
|
74 | 63 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
SPL
2 - 2
NKV
72%
18%
10%
|
74 | 62 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
HKS
0 - 0
SPL
64%
21%
15%
|
74 | 82 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2012 |
SPL
1 - 1
LUK
72%
18%
10%
|
74 | 63 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
HNK Sibenik
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
HNS
2 - 1
ZAG
42%
27%
31%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2012 |
HNS
0 - 1
LOK
47%
27%
26%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
IST
2 - 1
HNS
43%
28%
30%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | -1 |
| 09 Mar. 2012 |
HNS
2 - 2
RIJ
41%
28%
31%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2012 |
ZAD
0 - 1
HNS
39%
27%
34%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | +1 |