Split vs HNK Cibalia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
24%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
18%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Split
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2012 |
DZG
4 - 2
SPL
69%
20%
11%
|
73 | 84 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2012 |
SPL
2 - 0
SLA
46%
27%
27%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | +1 |
| 29 Jul. 2012 |
HKS
1 - 0
SPL
59%
23%
18%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | -1 |
| 20 Jul. 2012 |
SPL
2 - 0
RIJ
59%
23%
18%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | -1 |
| 12 May. 2012 |
DZG
0 - 0
SPL
70%
19%
11%
|
75 | 85 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
HNK Cibalia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2012 |
HNK
0 - 1
IST
54%
26%
20%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2012 |
HNK
1 - 1
INT
58%
24%
18%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | -1 |
| 28 Jul. 2012 |
DZG
2 - 1
HNK
72%
19%
10%
|
70 | 83 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2012 |
HNK
0 - 3
SLA
45%
28%
27%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | -3 |
| 12 May. 2012 |
HNK
0 - 2
ZAG
55%
25%
21%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | -1 |