Split vs HNK Cibalia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.2%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
22.7%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Split
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2011 |
SPL
0 - 3
DZG
31%
26%
43%
|
76 | 85 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2011 |
INT
0 - 3
SPL
40%
27%
33%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 2011 |
ZAG
0 - 2
SPL
40%
27%
33%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2011 |
ZAG
2 - 1
SPL
38%
26%
37%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2011 |
SPL
3 - 1
IST
70%
20%
11%
|
75 | 65 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
HNK Cibalia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 2011 |
HNK
2 - 1
VIN
61%
23%
17%
|
74 | 63 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2011 |
ZAG
1 - 1
HNK
41%
28%
31%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2011 |
HNK
1 - 0
IST
64%
23%
13%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2011 |
RIJ
1 - 1
HNK
50%
26%
24%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2011 |
RUD
0 - 1
HNK
33%
26%
41%
|
74 | 61 | 13 | 0 |