Split vs GOŠK DBK analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.8%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.7%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.3%
15.9%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+30%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
27
6º
16º
15º
37
6º
16º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
65 | 65 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
60 | 60 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
53 | 53 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
45 | 45 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
45 | 45 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
45 | 45 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
42 | 42 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
41 | 41 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
39 | 39 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
38 | 38 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
37 | 37 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
34 | 34 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
31 | 31 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
|
15º
|
27 | 27 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
25 | 25 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Split
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
UBV
0 - 1
SPL
22%
23%
55%
|
40 | 28 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
SPL
2 - 1
USK
47%
26%
28%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
SMR
1 - 1
SPL
37%
23%
40%
|
40 | 37 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2022 |
SPL
2 - 0
HNK
10%
19%
71%
|
38 | 59 | 21 | +2 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
SPL
4 - 0
KAM
57%
22%
22%
|
37 | 33 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
GOŠK DBK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
GOS
2 - 1
NER
53%
23%
24%
|
35 | 28 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
HNK
2 - 0
GOS
79%
15%
7%
|
36 | 49 | 13 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
GOS
2 - 0
NKG
37%
23%
40%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
ZAG
2 - 0
GOS
71%
18%
11%
|
36 | 43 | 7 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 2022 |
GOS
2 - 1
VOD
35%
24%
41%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | +1 |