Spittal vs Penk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
82.2%
Win probability
2.74
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
2.1%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.6%
5-0
4.6%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
6%
4-0
8.4%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.5%
3-0
12.2%
4-1
5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.1%
2-0
13.4%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.3%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.2%
12.2%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
5.8%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
12.2%
5.6%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.4%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spittal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2009 |
SPI
3 - 0
RAP
48%
24%
28%
|
20 | 23 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2009 |
VOL
4 - 2
SPI
38%
24%
38%
|
21 | 19 | 2 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2009 |
SPI
1 - 3
LEN
63%
20%
17%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 2009 |
TRE
4 - 1
SPI
47%
24%
30%
|
24 | 23 | 1 | -2 |
| 09 Oct. 2009 |
SPI
2 - 0
UMA
75%
16%
10%
|
23 | 17 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Penk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2009 |
FEL
2 - 1
SVP
85%
10%
5%
|
10 | 29 | 19 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2009 |
SVP
0 - 2
SVV
14%
19%
67%
|
10 | 21 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2009 |
SKA
3 - 1
SVP
81%
13%
6%
|
11 | 24 | 13 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 2009 |
SVP
4 - 1
SAS
26%
24%
50%
|
9 | 13 | 4 | +2 |
| 11 Oct. 2009 |
WEL
1 - 0
SVP
75%
16%
9%
|
9 | 17 | 8 | 0 |