Spittal vs St. Michael analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
80.4%
Win probability
2.8
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.6%
5-0
4.3%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.9%
4-0
7.6%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.2%
3-0
10.9%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.5%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.7%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
20%
12.7%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
6%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.7%
6.9%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
5.1%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spittal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2018 |
SPI
4 - 2
MAT
56%
20%
24%
|
23 | 21 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2018 |
KMD
1 - 0
SPI
53%
23%
25%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 2018 |
SPI
0 - 2
MSA
42%
23%
36%
|
25 | 26 | 1 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 2018 |
ASW
2 - 3
SPI
29%
22%
50%
|
24 | 20 | 4 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 2018 |
SPI
3 - 0
SVL
81%
12%
8%
|
24 | 17 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
St. Michael
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2018 |
TRE
4 - 3
MIC
85%
11%
5%
|
16 | 29 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2018 |
MIC
0 - 0
GMD
21%
22%
57%
|
16 | 22 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2018 |
MIC
2 - 2
FLC
10%
16%
74%
|
15 | 27 | 12 | +1 |
| 13 Oct. 2018 |
MAT
5 - 0
MIC
81%
13%
7%
|
16 | 23 | 7 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 2018 |
MIC
0 - 3
KMD
19%
24%
57%
|
16 | 27 | 11 | 0 |