Spittal vs Rapid Lienz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.2%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.6%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
28.2%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
16.4%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spittal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2009 |
VOL
4 - 2
SPI
38%
24%
38%
|
21 | 19 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2009 |
SPI
1 - 3
LEN
63%
20%
17%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 2009 |
TRE
4 - 1
SPI
47%
24%
30%
|
24 | 23 | 1 | -2 |
| 09 Oct. 2009 |
SPI
2 - 0
UMA
75%
16%
10%
|
23 | 17 | 6 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2009 |
WAC
6 - 3
SPI
39%
24%
37%
|
24 | 20 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Rapid Lienz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2009 |
RAP
2 - 0
FEL
22%
22%
55%
|
21 | 31 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2009 |
SVV
2 - 4
RAP
60%
22%
19%
|
20 | 22 | 2 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 2009 |
RAP
4 - 1
SKA
28%
25%
47%
|
18 | 25 | 7 | +2 |
| 11 Oct. 2009 |
SAS
0 - 2
RAP
35%
26%
40%
|
17 | 14 | 3 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2009 |
RAP
0 - 1
WEL
56%
22%
22%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | -1 |