Spittal vs Bleiburg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.9%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.6%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.9%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
18.7%
14.4%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-65%
-45%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spittal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2013 |
VOL
1 - 0
SPI
49%
24%
27%
|
21 | 22 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2013 |
SPI
2 - 1
TRE
56%
22%
22%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | +1 |
| 22 Mar. 2013 |
WEL
2 - 2
SPI
24%
22%
54%
|
21 | 14 | 7 | -1 |
| 31 Oct. 2012 |
SPI
1 - 1
KMD
60%
20%
20%
|
20 | 19 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Oct. 2012 |
SPI
3 - 0
RAP
70%
18%
12%
|
20 | 17 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Bleiburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2013 |
BLE
0 - 0
LEN
24%
24%
52%
|
17 | 23 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2013 |
MSA
1 - 1
BLE
73%
16%
11%
|
17 | 22 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2013 |
BLE
1 - 3
WAC
14%
20%
66%
|
18 | 37 | 19 | -1 |
| 03 Nov. 2012 |
FLC
3 - 2
BLE
62%
19%
19%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2012 |
BLE
2 - 1
RUD
59%
20%
20%
|
17 | 16 | 1 | +1 |