Spijkenisse vs Nieuwenhoorn analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.8%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.6%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
6%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
9%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.4%
25.8%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
14.2%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
3%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
29
3º
14º
14º
51
1º
11º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
59 | 62 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
54 | 57 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
54 | 57 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
51 | 54 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
51 | 51 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
|
6º
|
51 | 51 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
46 | 47 |
7º
|
70.5% | |
|
8º
|
44 | 45 |
8º
|
70.5% | |
|
9º
|
40 | 43 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
33 | 36 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
36 | 36 |
11º
|
32.5% | |
|
12º
|
31 | 35 |
12º
|
66% | |
|
13º
|
31 | 31 |
13º
|
72% | |
|
|
14º
|
29 | 30 |
14º
|
73.5% | |
|
15º
|
27 | 27 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
5 | 5 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spijkenisse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
ZWA
2 - 0
SPI
35%
23%
43%
|
39 | 34 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
SPI
5 - 1
GOE
29%
23%
48%
|
37 | 42 | 5 | +2 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
ACH
2 - 1
SPI
53%
22%
25%
|
37 | 41 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
SPI
1 - 1
JOD
55%
21%
24%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
SMI
3 - 2
SPI
52%
22%
27%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Nieuwenhoorn
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
NIE
3 - 1
FCS
15%
17%
68%
|
30 | 45 | 15 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
SCF
2 - 2
NIE
72%
16%
13%
|
29 | 40 | 11 | +1 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
NIE
1 - 3
CAP
23%
21%
57%
|
31 | 42 | 11 | -2 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
KLO
3 - 1
NIE
70%
17%
14%
|
31 | 44 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
NIE
2 - 2
ARC
21%
21%
58%
|
31 | 42 | 11 | 0 |