Spezia U19 vs Perugia U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.1%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.9%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.4%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
30.6%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.8%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spezia U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 2025 |
SPE
1 - 2
TER
37%
24%
39%
|
31 | 36 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2025 |
PIS
1 - 2
SPE
52%
24%
25%
|
30 | 37 | 7 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 2025 |
SPE
0 - 2
ASC
23%
21%
56%
|
31 | 41 | 10 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 2025 |
PAL
2 - 1
SPE
34%
24%
42%
|
32 | 28 | 4 | -1 |
| 12 Apr. 2025 |
SPE
2 - 2
AVE
56%
20%
24%
|
32 | 27 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Perugia U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 2025 |
PER
1 - 1
BEN
38%
24%
38%
|
27 | 33 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2025 |
AVE
3 - 1
PER
43%
21%
36%
|
28 | 26 | 2 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2025 |
PER
3 - 2
SAL
41%
23%
37%
|
27 | 29 | 2 | +1 |
| 19 Apr. 2025 |
ASC
3 - 2
PER
73%
16%
11%
|
27 | 41 | 14 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2025 |
PER
1 - 0
PAL
41%
23%
36%
|
26 | 29 | 3 | +1 |