Spezia U19 vs Novara U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
28.3%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.8%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.8%
1-0
7%
2-1
7%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.7%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
47.4%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.5%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.4%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.8%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spezia U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Dec. 2015 |
CAR
1 - 2
SPE
16%
19%
66%
|
28 | 18 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2015 |
SPE
0 - 4
JUV
27%
23%
50%
|
29 | 37 | 8 | -1 |
| 05 Dec. 2015 |
SAM
4 - 3
SPE
54%
22%
24%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | -1 |
| 28 Nov. 2015 |
SPE
4 - 2
TRA
75%
15%
10%
|
30 | 19 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2015 |
VIR
3 - 0
SPE
45%
23%
33%
|
31 | 31 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Novara U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 2015 |
TRA
0 - 4
NOV
14%
18%
68%
|
36 | 19 | 17 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2015 |
NOV
2 - 3
CAR
86%
10%
4%
|
37 | 17 | 20 | -1 |
| 05 Dec. 2015 |
FIO
4 - 1
NOV
61%
21%
18%
|
38 | 42 | 4 | -1 |
| 28 Nov. 2015 |
NOV
2 - 4
JUV
50%
23%
27%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 Nov. 2015 |
LIV
1 - 2
NOV
10%
19%
71%
|
39 | 18 | 21 | 0 |