Spezia U19 vs Monopoli U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.1%
Win probability
2.63
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.8%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
7.9%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.8%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.3%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
9%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21%
16.7%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
16.7%
15.1%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-49%
+43%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
35
7º
16º
10º
21
10º
16º
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
16º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
70 | 73 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
60 | 60 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
54 | 54 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
51 | 51 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
47 | 47 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
47 | 47 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
40 | 40 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
39 | 39 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
38 | 38 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
35 | 35 |
10º
|
44.5% | |
|
11º
|
34 | 35 |
11º
|
37% | |
|
12º
|
33 | 33 |
12º
|
79.5% | |
|
13º
|
30 | 30 |
13º
|
70% | |
|
14º
|
28 | 29 |
14º
|
70% | |
|
15º
|
22 | 22 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
|
16º
|
21 | 21 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spezia U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
BAR
2 - 5
SPE
54%
20%
26%
|
26 | 28 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
SPE
0 - 2
PAL
57%
21%
23%
|
27 | 24 | 3 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 2023 |
SAM
3 - 1
SPE
62%
20%
18%
|
27 | 35 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
CES
3 - 1
SPE
23%
21%
55%
|
29 | 21 | 8 | -2 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
SPE
1 - 2
VIR
43%
23%
35%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Monopoli U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
MNP
1 - 3
PER
32%
23%
46%
|
21 | 27 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
CRO
4 - 3
MNP
53%
21%
27%
|
22 | 23 | 1 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
MNP
3 - 2
PES
37%
22%
41%
|
21 | 23 | 2 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 2023 |
TER
3 - 1
MNP
49%
22%
30%
|
21 | 26 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
CCS
2 - 1
MNP
71%
16%
13%
|
22 | 32 | 10 | -1 |