Spezia U19 vs Modena U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
77.7%
Win probability
2.54
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.6%
4-0
6.9%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.7%
3-0
10.9%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.5%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.1%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
14.5%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.5%
7.8%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.8%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-52%
+116%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spezia U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2014 |
SIE
0 - 2
SPE
21%
22%
58%
|
37 | 24 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2014 |
SPE
0 - 3
CES
57%
22%
22%
|
39 | 34 | 5 | -2 |
| 15 Feb. 2014 |
CAR
1 - 2
SPE
17%
21%
63%
|
38 | 22 | 16 | +1 |
| 31 Jan. 2014 |
BOL
0 - 3
SPE
48%
23%
29%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | +2 |
| 25 Jan. 2014 |
SPE
4 - 4
JUV
18%
22%
60%
|
36 | 49 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Modena U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2014 |
NOV
3 - 2
MOD
77%
14%
9%
|
20 | 30 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2014 |
MOD
1 - 3
SAS
27%
24%
50%
|
21 | 26 | 5 | -1 |
| 15 Feb. 2014 |
TOR
2 - 0
MOD
81%
13%
6%
|
21 | 49 | 28 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2014 |
MOD
1 - 0
GEN
18%
23%
59%
|
19 | 30 | 11 | +2 |
| 25 Jan. 2014 |
EMP
4 - 1
MOD
83%
12%
5%
|
19 | 39 | 20 | 0 |