Spezia U19 vs Frosinone U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
31.1%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3.7%
2-0
4%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.8%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
10%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
46.2%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
4%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
21%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
14%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.1%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-40%
+10%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
37
2º
10º
10º
63
1º
2º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
63 | 63 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
59 | 59 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
58 | 58 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
56 | 56 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
45 | 45 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
43 | 43 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
41 | 41 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
40 | 40 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
37 | 37 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
31 | 31 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
31 | 31 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
31 | 31 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
14º
|
30 | 30 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
28 | 28 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
27 | 27 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 100% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spezia U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2025 |
MNP
1 - 3
SPE
20%
20%
60%
|
33 | 20 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2025 |
SPE
0 - 0
BAR
68%
17%
15%
|
33 | 24 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2024 |
PER
2 - 1
SPE
42%
22%
36%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2024 |
SPE
2 - 1
SAL
64%
19%
18%
|
33 | 26 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2024 |
SPE
0 - 2
PIS
54%
21%
25%
|
34 | 32 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Frosinone U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2025 |
FRO
2 - 0
CRO
69%
18%
13%
|
40 | 24 | 16 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2025 |
AVE
2 - 3
FRO
17%
19%
65%
|
39 | 19 | 20 | +1 |
| 21 Dec. 2024 |
FRO
2 - 1
PIS
55%
22%
24%
|
39 | 34 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2024 |
PAL
0 - 0
FRO
25%
22%
54%
|
39 | 29 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2024 |
FRO
3 - 0
PES
62%
20%
18%
|
38 | 28 | 10 | +1 |