Spezia U17 vs Modena U17 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.5%
Win probability
2.53
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.8%
4-0
5%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.1%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
5%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.4%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.7%
16.6%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.6%
12.9%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.6%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
+59%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
22
4º
11º
11º
29
4º
10º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
57 | 57 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
50 | 50 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
44 | 44 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
42 | 42 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
39 | 39 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
33 | 33 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
30 | 30 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
29 | 29 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
29 | 29 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
24 | 24 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
22 | 22 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
14 | 14 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
13 | 13 |
13º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spezia U17
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
PIS
0 - 0
SPE
41%
23%
36%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
MOD
3 - 2
SPE
16%
17%
66%
|
27 | 16 | 11 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
SPE
2 - 3
JUV
13%
17%
70%
|
28 | 44 | 16 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
GEN
0 - 0
SPE
72%
16%
12%
|
28 | 41 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2024 |
SPE
0 - 1
SMP
59%
21%
20%
|
28 | 24 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Modena U17
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
MOD
1 - 1
REG
56%
20%
24%
|
18 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
PIS
2 - 0
MOD
69%
17%
14%
|
18 | 26 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
MOD
3 - 2
SPE
16%
17%
66%
|
16 | 27 | 11 | +2 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
JUV
3 - 0
MOD
88%
8%
4%
|
16 | 43 | 27 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2024 |
MOD
0 - 3
GEN
13%
17%
69%
|
17 | 40 | 23 | -1 |