Speranza Agrate vs Concorezzese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
80%
Win probability
2.87
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.8%
5-0
4.2%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.1%
4-0
7.3%
5-1
3.3%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
11.3%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.4%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.6%
12.6%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
5.8%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
12.6%
7.3%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
5.3%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Speranza Agrate
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
CRE
1 - 2
SPE
11%
17%
72%
|
39 | 14 | 25 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
SPE
4 - 0
POL
85%
10%
5%
|
39 | 18 | 21 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2015 |
CIT
1 - 1
SPE
21%
21%
58%
|
40 | 25 | 15 | -1 |
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
CAR
1 - 1
SPE
25%
22%
53%
|
40 | 28 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
SPE
4 - 1
PAD
81%
12%
7%
|
40 | 21 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Concorezzese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
POL
0 - 1
CON
28%
22%
50%
|
22 | 17 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
CON
1 - 2
POL
70%
17%
13%
|
22 | 17 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2015 |
PAD
4 - 1
CON
36%
23%
41%
|
24 | 20 | 4 | -2 |
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
SAL
1 - 3
CON
12%
17%
71%
|
24 | 11 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
CON
2 - 2
MUG
20%
21%
59%
|
23 | 37 | 14 | +1 |