Q. Europa League First Round Final
Global 0-9
Speranţa Nisporeni vs Neftçi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
18%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.3%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.3%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.2%
58.9%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
0-1
12.8%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.3%
0-2
11.3%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.2%
0-3
6.6%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9.6%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.9%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Speranţa Nisporeni
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jul. 2019 |
FCS
0 - 3
SPE
17%
20%
63%
|
62 | 48 | 14 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2019 |
SHF
3 - 0
SPE
81%
14%
5%
|
63 | 83 | 20 | -1 |
| 25 Jun. 2019 |
SPE
6 - 1
FCS
57%
23%
20%
|
63 | 50 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2019 |
SPE
0 - 1
MIL
21%
29%
50%
|
63 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2019 |
PET
4 - 1
SPE
57%
25%
19%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Neftçi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jun. 2019 |
SKA
1 - 3
FKN
24%
25%
51%
|
77 | 66 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2019 |
FKN
2 - 3
QAR
43%
26%
32%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2019 |
FKQ
1 - 3
FKN
40%
27%
33%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2019 |
FKN
2 - 3
SUM
69%
19%
12%
|
77 | 65 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2019 |
SFK
0 - 2
FKN
22%
29%
49%
|
77 | 61 | 16 | 0 |