Spartak Varna vs Pirin Razlog analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.9%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.6%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.6%
29.6%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.4%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
-27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spartak Varna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2014 |
KAL
0 - 2
SVA
62%
22%
17%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2013 |
FKV
1 - 1
SVA
43%
27%
30%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | +1 |
| 02 Nov. 2013 |
SVA
1 - 2
MAR
35%
29%
36%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | -1 |
| 27 Oct. 2013 |
DUN
2 - 0
SVA
40%
26%
34%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | -1 |
| 18 Oct. 2013 |
SVA
0 - 3
FKH
54%
25%
21%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Pirin Razlog
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2014 |
PIR
1 - 1
BGA
68%
20%
12%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2013 |
PIR
2 - 2
DOB
47%
25%
28%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 Nov. 2013 |
ASV
2 - 2
PIR
26%
27%
47%
|
59 | 47 | 12 | -1 |
| 26 Oct. 2013 |
KAL
2 - 0
PIR
49%
25%
26%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2013 |
PIR
3 - 1
FKV
53%
25%
22%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |