Spartak Varna vs Himik Devnya analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
82.9%
Win probability
2.61
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.9%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.4%
5-0
4.6%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.6%
4-0
8.8%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.2%
3-0
13.5%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
18.3%
2-0
15.6%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.1%
1-0
12%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
+1
21.1%
12.3%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
5.7%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
12.3%
4.7%
Win probability
0.48
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
3.8%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spartak Varna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2011 |
BOT
0 - 4
SVA
13%
22%
65%
|
54 | 19 | 35 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
CHE
2 - 3
SVA
20%
24%
57%
|
54 | 30 | 24 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2011 |
SVA
6 - 0
BEN
79%
15%
7%
|
54 | 27 | 27 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2011 |
DVE
0 - 3
SVA
21%
24%
55%
|
53 | 36 | 17 | +1 |
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
SVA
5 - 2
SKS
77%
15%
8%
|
53 | 31 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
Himik Devnya
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2011 |
HIM
1 - 0
RAS
18%
23%
59%
|
20 | 33 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2011 |
SHA
0 - 3
HIM
67%
19%
14%
|
19 | 24 | 5 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
HIM
0 - 0
VEL
22%
23%
55%
|
18 | 26 | 8 | +1 |
| 12 Apr. 2011 |
SUV
0 - 0
HIM
77%
15%
8%
|
18 | 33 | 15 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2011 |
HIM
0 - 3
CHE
23%
24%
53%
|
19 | 27 | 8 | -1 |