Spartak Varna vs CSKA Sofia analysis


69	ELO	77
6.1%	Tilt	-0.5%
1987º	General ELO ranking	958º
11º	Country ELO ranking	4º
ELO win probability

36.7%

Spartak Varna

27.8%

Draw

35.5%

CSKA Sofia

Possible results

Probability of each exact result

Probability of handicap

36.7%
Win probability

                        
                    
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.5%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.1%

27.8%

Draw

0-0

9.2%

1-1

13.1%

2-2

4.6%

3-3

0.7%

4-4

0.1%

0

27.8%

35.5%
Win probability

                        
                    
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.7%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

-10%

+16%

Points and table prediction

Their league position

CURR.POS.

3º

PTS.

Best position

Worst

EXP.

51

4º

65

1º

PTS.

Best position

Worst

EXP.

CURR.POS.

1º

Expected position in the table

		Final expectations
RK	PTS.	PTS.	RK	PROB
1º	65	18	1º	100%
2º	56	7	2º	100%
4º	49	7	3º	100%
3º	51	3	4º	100%

See complete ranking Show less

Expected probabilities

Play-offs	0%	100%
Mid-table	100%	0%

ELO progression

Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Spartak Varna

	1% X% 2%	ELO	ELO Cont.	▵ELO	±ELO
19 Apr. 2025	LUD 2 - 1 SVA 66% 20% 14%	69	77	8	0
11 Apr. 2025	SVA 1 - 0 FLK 61% 23% 17%	68	63	5	+1
07 Apr. 2025	LPL 1 - 2 SVA 38% 27% 35%	68	66	2	0
01 Apr. 2025	SVA 1 - 0 BVR 65% 20% 15%	67	57	10	+1
28 Mar. 2025	LSO 2 - 1 SVA 32% 27% 41%	67	62	5	0

Matches

CSKA Sofia

	1% X% 2%	ELO	ELO Cont.	▵ELO
22 Apr. 2025	CSK 2 - 1 CVA 49% 26% 26%	77	77	0
18 Apr. 2025	FLK 1 - 0 CSK 23% 28% 50%	77	62	15
12 Apr. 2025	CSK 2 - 0 LPL 63% 22% 15%	77	66	11
09 Apr. 2025	CVA 0 - 0 CSK 46% 26% 28%	77	76	1
05 Apr. 2025	BVR 1 - 1 CSK 17% 26% 58%	77	57	20