Spartak Varna vs CSKA Sofia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.2%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
24.9%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.9%
0-2
4%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spartak Varna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 1986 |
LSO
2 - 0
SVA
67%
20%
13%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 1986 |
SVA
1 - 1
BVR
55%
24%
21%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 1986 |
ETA
0 - 2
SVA
63%
21%
16%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 Mar. 1986 |
SVA
1 - 1
BER
44%
25%
31%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 1986 |
SPA
1 - 1
SVA
55%
25%
20%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
CSKA Sofia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 1986 |
BOT
3 - 1
CSK
72%
16%
12%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 1986 |
CSK
0 - 3
LSO
73%
17%
11%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 1986 |
BVR
1 - 1
CSK
46%
27%
28%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 1986 |
CSK
2 - 0
ETA
71%
16%
13%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | +1 |
| 02 Mar. 1986 |
BER
1 - 0
CSK
54%
24%
22%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |