Spartak Varna vs CSKA Sofia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.9%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.4%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
27%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
31%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.7%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
8.5%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spartak Varna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 1966 |
LSO
3 - 2
SVA
65%
21%
14%
|
69 | 78 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 1966 |
LPL
2 - 1
SVA
50%
27%
24%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 1966 |
SVA
2 - 2
SPS
48%
27%
25%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 1966 |
DUN
1 - 0
SVA
44%
27%
29%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 1966 |
SVA
0 - 1
LPL
52%
25%
23%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
CSKA Sofia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 1966 |
CSK
3 - 1
BOT
66%
20%
15%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 1966 |
LSO
0 - 3
CSK
55%
23%
22%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 1966 |
CHB
0 - 0
CSK
47%
23%
30%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 1966 |
BER
2 - 2
CSK
49%
23%
28%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 1966 |
CSK
1 - 0
LSO
51%
23%
26%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |