Spartak Varna vs CSKA Sofia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.6%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
4%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.7%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.1%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.1%
29.4%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
16%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spartak Varna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 1956 |
SPS
1 - 1
SVA
44%
24%
32%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 1956 |
SPA
1 - 0
SVA
39%
24%
37%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 1956 |
SVA
2 - 0
SSO
51%
22%
27%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 1956 |
LSO
0 - 0
SVA
47%
23%
30%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 1956 |
DUN
2 - 2
SVA
26%
22%
51%
|
76 | 57 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
CSKA Sofia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 1956 |
LSO
2 - 2
CSK
39%
24%
38%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 1956 |
DUN
1 - 1
CSK
24%
22%
54%
|
79 | 59 | 20 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 1956 |
CSK
2 - 2
BOT
67%
18%
15%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 1956 |
CSK
1 - 0
FKM
71%
16%
13%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 1956 |
SPA
1 - 1
CSK
35%
23%
42%
|
79 | 67 | 12 | 0 |