Spartak Varna vs Botev Vratsa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.7%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.8%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
28.1%
Draw
0-0
9.8%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.1%
31.2%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.5%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spartak Varna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2014 |
MON
0 - 1
SVA
57%
24%
20%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2014 |
ASV
0 - 3
SVA
25%
27%
49%
|
59 | 47 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2014 |
SVA
2 - 1
BGA
63%
24%
13%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 2014 |
DOB
1 - 0
SVA
46%
27%
27%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | -1 |
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
SVA
3 - 0
PIR
43%
28%
30%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Botev Vratsa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2014 |
BVR
5 - 1
BGA
74%
18%
8%
|
62 | 52 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2014 |
DOB
0 - 0
BVR
39%
28%
33%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2014 |
BVR
3 - 0
PIR
56%
24%
20%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 2014 |
KAL
0 - 0
BVR
46%
26%
28%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
BVR
2 - 1
FKV
60%
24%
17%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | 0 |