Spartak Varna vs Beroe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.7%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
5%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.5%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
23.7%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
51
4º
4º
4º
49
2º
3º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
65 | 18 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
56 | 7 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
49 | 7 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
51 | 3 |
4º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spartak Varna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2025 |
BOT
3 - 2
SVA
51%
25%
24%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2025 |
SVA
0 - 1
CSK
37%
28%
36%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2025 |
LUD
2 - 1
SVA
66%
20%
14%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2025 |
SVA
1 - 0
FLK
61%
23%
17%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 2025 |
LPL
1 - 2
SVA
38%
27%
35%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Beroe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 2025 |
BER
0 - 3
CSK
31%
29%
40%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2025 |
BOT
1 - 1
BER
54%
26%
21%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2025 |
CVA
1 - 1
BER
59%
25%
16%
|
68 | 77 | 9 | +1 |
| 11 Apr. 2025 |
BER
2 - 0
CSK
34%
28%
38%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 2025 |
BER
0 - 1
LSO
25%
27%
48%
|
67 | 77 | 10 | 0 |