Spartak Tambov vs Arsenal Tula II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.5%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.6%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.8%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.5%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
30.8%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-40%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
44
3º
10º
5º
31
2º
11º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
63 | 64 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
54 | 54 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
54 | 54 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
48 | 48 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
44 | 44 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
44 | 44 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
42 | 42 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
35 | 35 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
32 | 33 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
31 | 31 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
31 | 31 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
27 | 27 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
21 | 21 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
19 | 19 |
15º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spartak Tambov
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
ZEN
0 - 1
SPA
46%
25%
29%
|
41 | 40 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
SPA
1 - 1
KPP
32%
24%
44%
|
40 | 48 | 8 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
KHI
0 - 3
SPA
55%
21%
24%
|
39 | 40 | 1 | +1 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
SPA
0 - 1
FDV
30%
25%
46%
|
40 | 51 | 11 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
STR
1 - 1
SPA
41%
23%
36%
|
40 | 34 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Arsenal Tula II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
ARS
1 - 0
KPP
28%
24%
48%
|
39 | 49 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
KHI
2 - 2
ARS
42%
23%
35%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
ARS
0 - 2
FDV
20%
24%
57%
|
40 | 52 | 12 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
STR
1 - 0
ARS
30%
22%
48%
|
41 | 34 | 7 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
ARS
2 - 0
FKO
67%
19%
15%
|
40 | 31 | 9 | +1 |