Spartak Semey vs Gefest Qaraghandi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.5%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.1%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.3%
3-0
9%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
17.8%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.7%
11.7%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.3%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spartak Semey
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2011 |
KYR
6 - 1
SPA
56%
23%
22%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2011 |
LAS
2 - 1
SPA
39%
24%
37%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2011 |
SPA
1 - 2
AKB
49%
25%
27%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2011 |
SPA
0 - 1
ZST
22%
27%
50%
|
52 | 68 | 16 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2011 |
AKJ
2 - 1
SPA
52%
23%
26%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Gefest Qaraghandi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2011 |
EKI
3 - 0
GEF
71%
18%
11%
|
40 | 54 | 14 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2011 |
GEF
0 - 3
CEA
33%
25%
42%
|
42 | 51 | 9 | -2 |
| 20 Sep. 2011 |
GEF
0 - 3
CSK
73%
16%
11%
|
43 | 31 | 12 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 2011 |
KYZ
3 - 0
GEF
58%
23%
20%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2011 |
OKZ
3 - 0
GEF
70%
19%
11%
|
45 | 60 | 15 | -1 |