Spartak Nalchik vs Legion Makhachkala analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
21.8%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.5%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.4%
25%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25%
53.2%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
0-1
12.8%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.9%
0-2
10.2%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.3%
0-3
5.5%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.8%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-47%
-26%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
12
6º
13º
13º
23
3º
14º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
35 | 49 |
1º
|
50.5% | |
|
5º
|
30 | 47 |
2º
|
21.5% | |
|
2º
|
35 | 46 |
3º
|
21% | |
|
3º
|
31 | 45 |
4º
|
16% | |
|
4º
|
31 | 45 |
5º
|
15% | |
|
7º
|
27 | 40 |
6º
|
18.5% | |
|
8º
|
25 | 39 |
7º
|
20% | |
|
11º
|
22 | 37 |
8º
|
13.5% | |
|
6º
|
28 | 36 |
9º
|
16% | |
|
|
10º
|
23 | 35 |
10º
|
24% | |
|
9º
|
23 | 34 |
11º
|
40% | |
|
12º
|
14 | 22 |
12º
|
56.5% | |
|
|
13º
|
12 | 20 |
13º
|
59% | |
|
14º
|
2 | 6 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spartak Nalchik
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 2025 |
FKK
4 - 1
NAL
69%
19%
12%
|
39 | 50 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2025 |
SOC
1 - 0
NAL
18%
20%
62%
|
40 | 23 | 17 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 2025 |
NAL
2 - 2
SKC
26%
24%
50%
|
39 | 50 | 11 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 2025 |
DMA
1 - 2
NAL
49%
23%
29%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2025 |
NAL
1 - 1
NCH
37%
25%
38%
|
38 | 41 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Legion Makhachkala
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 2025 |
LEG
1 - 1
SOC
63%
21%
16%
|
49 | 26 | 23 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2025 |
SKC
0 - 0
LEG
46%
25%
29%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2025 |
LEG
1 - 3
DMA
68%
21%
12%
|
50 | 38 | 12 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 2025 |
NCH
1 - 1
LEG
34%
26%
40%
|
50 | 41 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2025 |
LEG
3 - 0
FKP
53%
24%
23%
|
49 | 40 | 9 | +1 |