Spartak Nalchik vs FC Kuban Holding analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
11.6%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.3%
1-0
5%
2-1
3%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
8.7%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
20.8%
67.6%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
0-1
15.1%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.2%
0-2
14.3%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21%
0-3
9.1%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
12.2%
0-4
4.3%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.5%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-47%
+24%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
13
6º
13º
13º
35
1º
8º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
4º
|
35 | 49 |
1º
|
30% | |
|
|
3º
|
35 | 48 |
2º
|
28.5% | |
|
2º
|
36 | 47 |
3º
|
21.5% | |
|
1º
|
38 | 46 |
4º
|
24.5% | |
|
5º
|
34 | 45 |
5º
|
28% | |
|
6º
|
28 | 39 |
6º
|
19.5% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 39 |
7º
|
17% | |
|
9º
|
26 | 37 |
8º
|
21.5% | |
|
8º
|
26 | 37 |
9º
|
15% | |
|
7º
|
27 | 35 |
10º
|
24.5% | |
|
11º
|
23 | 34 |
11º
|
29% | |
|
12º
|
14 | 21 |
12º
|
62% | |
|
|
13º
|
13 | 18 |
13º
|
62% | |
|
14º
|
2 | 6 |
14º
|
98.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 26.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 73.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spartak Nalchik
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jul. 2025 |
NAL
2 - 2
SOC
40%
23%
38%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2025 |
NAL
2 - 1
BRO
64%
20%
17%
|
30 | 16 | 14 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2025 |
SKC
1 - 0
NAL
65%
20%
14%
|
31 | 50 | 19 | -1 |
| 29 Jun. 2025 |
NAL
0 - 1
DMA
21%
26%
53%
|
32 | 45 | 13 | -1 |
| 25 Jun. 2025 |
NCH
5 - 0
NAL
64%
19%
18%
|
33 | 41 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
FC Kuban Holding
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jul. 2025 |
FKK
3 - 1
DIN
35%
27%
38%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2025 |
SOC
1 - 1
FKK
24%
25%
51%
|
50 | 30 | 20 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2025 |
FKK
2 - 0
ROS
45%
25%
30%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | +1 |
| 25 Jun. 2025 |
SKC
1 - 1
FKK
45%
25%
30%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2025 |
FKK
0 - 0
RUB
51%
24%
25%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | 0 |