Spartak Nalchik vs FC Sochi-2 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.6%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.8%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.1%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
37.8%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
18.7%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
11.2%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-47%
+989%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
12
6º
13º
13º
28
2º
9º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
35 | 49 |
1º
|
50.5% | |
|
5º
|
30 | 47 |
2º
|
21.5% | |
|
2º
|
35 | 46 |
3º
|
21% | |
|
3º
|
31 | 45 |
4º
|
16% | |
|
4º
|
31 | 45 |
5º
|
15% | |
|
7º
|
27 | 40 |
6º
|
18.5% | |
|
8º
|
25 | 39 |
7º
|
20% | |
|
11º
|
22 | 37 |
8º
|
13.5% | |
|
|
6º
|
28 | 36 |
9º
|
16% | |
|
10º
|
23 | 35 |
10º
|
24% | |
|
9º
|
23 | 34 |
11º
|
40% | |
|
12º
|
14 | 22 |
12º
|
56.5% | |
|
|
13º
|
12 | 20 |
13º
|
59% | |
|
14º
|
2 | 6 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spartak Nalchik
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jul. 2025 |
NAL
2 - 1
BRO
64%
20%
17%
|
30 | 16 | 14 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2025 |
SKC
1 - 0
NAL
65%
20%
14%
|
31 | 50 | 19 | -1 |
| 29 Jun. 2025 |
NAL
0 - 1
DMA
21%
26%
53%
|
32 | 45 | 13 | -1 |
| 25 Jun. 2025 |
NCH
5 - 0
NAL
64%
19%
18%
|
33 | 41 | 8 | -1 |
| 21 Jun. 2025 |
NAL
0 - 2
FKP
28%
25%
46%
|
35 | 45 | 10 | -2 |
Matches
FC Sochi-2
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jul. 2025 |
SOC
1 - 1
FKK
24%
25%
51%
|
30 | 50 | 20 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2025 |
SOC
1 - 3
SKC
23%
23%
55%
|
31 | 49 | 18 | -1 |
| 25 Jun. 2025 |
DMA
0 - 1
SOC
66%
19%
15%
|
30 | 46 | 16 | +1 |
| 21 Jun. 2025 |
NCH
1 - 2
SOC
69%
17%
14%
|
29 | 41 | 12 | +1 |
| 14 Jun. 2025 |
FKP
3 - 1
SOC
70%
17%
13%
|
30 | 45 | 15 | -1 |