Spartak Nalchik vs Astrakhan analysis


36	ELO	42
-13%	Tilt	-7.7%
8169º	General ELO ranking	5994º
115º	Country ELO ranking	81º
ELO win probability

38%

Spartak Nalchik

26%

Draw

36.1%

Astrakhan

Possible results

Probability of each exact result

Probability of handicap

38%
Win probability

                        
                    
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.1%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.6%

26%

Draw

0-0

6.9%

1-1

12.3%

2-2

5.5%

3-3

1.1%

4-4

0.1%

0

26%

36.1%
Win probability

                        
                    
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20%
0-2
6%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

-47%

+21%

Points and table prediction

Their league position

CURR.POS.

13º

PTS.

Best position

Worst

EXP.

12

6º

13º

27

6º

12º

6º

PTS.

Best position

Worst

EXP.

CURR.POS.

7º

Expected position in the table

		Final expectations
RK	PTS.	PTS.	RK	PROB
1º	35	49	1º	50.5%
5º	30	47	2º	21.5%
2º	35	46	3º	21%
3º	31	45	4º	16%
4º	31	45	5º	15%
7º	27	40	6º	18.5%
8º	25	39	7º	20%
11º	22	37	8º	13.5%
6º	28	36	9º	16%
10º	23	35	10º	24%
9º	23	34	11º	40%
12º	14	22	12º	56.5%
13º	12	20	13º	59%
14º	2	6	14º	100%

See complete ranking Show less

Expected probabilities

Promotion	0%	1.5%
Mid-table	100%	98.5%

ELO progression

Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Spartak Nalchik

	1% X% 2%	ELO	ELO Cont.	▵ELO	±ELO
17 May. 2025	ANG 0 - 0 NAL 31% 25% 44%	38	36	2	0
10 May. 2025	NAL 0 - 1 LEG 22% 25% 53%	39	49	10	-1
03 May. 2025	FKK 4 - 1 NAL 69% 19% 12%	39	50	11	0
26 Apr. 2025	SOC 1 - 0 NAL 18% 20% 62%	40	23	17	-1
19 Apr. 2025	NAL 2 - 2 SKC 26% 24% 50%	39	50	11	+1

Matches

Astrakhan

	1% X% 2%	ELO	ELO Cont.	▵ELO	±ELO
17 May. 2025	AST 1 - 1 SOC 64% 19% 18%	41	31	10	0
10 May. 2025	SKC 1 - 0 AST 54% 24% 22%	42	50	8	-1
03 May. 2025	AST 0 - 0 DMA 48% 25% 27%	41	41	0	+1
26 Apr. 2025	NCH 1 - 1 AST 46% 25% 29%	41	42	1	0
19 Apr. 2025	AST 1 - 2 FKP 46% 25% 30%	42	40	2	-1