Spartak Moskva II vs Cherepovets analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.5%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.7%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.3%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.6%
12.9%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-32%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
29
1º
9º
2º
9
12º
14º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
37 | 66 |
1º
|
68% | |
|
|
3º
|
29 | 61 |
2º
|
53.5% | |
|
2º
|
30 | 54 |
3º
|
55% | |
|
5º
|
21 | 48 |
4º
|
50.5% | |
|
4º
|
26 | 41 |
5º
|
23% | |
|
10º
|
16 | 40 |
6º
|
22% | |
|
7º
|
18 | 39 |
7º
|
14.5% | |
|
6º
|
20 | 38 |
8º
|
17% | |
|
12º
|
12 | 36 |
9º
|
16% | |
|
9º
|
18 | 33 |
10º
|
16% | |
|
8º
|
18 | 32 |
11º
|
18.5% | |
|
11º
|
13 | 28 |
12º
|
18% | |
|
|
14º
|
9 | 27 |
13º
|
18.5% | |
|
13º
|
11 | 23 |
14º
|
35% | |
|
15º
|
8 | 16 |
15º
|
75.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
24.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
75.5% | 93% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 7% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spartak Moskva II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2025 |
KPP
1 - 0
SPA
9%
13%
78%
|
61 | 45 | 16 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2025 |
TOR
1 - 0
SPA
41%
23%
36%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2024 |
FKI
0 - 2
SPA
22%
22%
56%
|
61 | 50 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
TVE
0 - 3
SPA
7%
14%
79%
|
61 | 30 | 31 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
SPA
0 - 0
ZEN
76%
15%
9%
|
62 | 48 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
Cherepovets
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2025 |
ZSP
4 - 1
FKC
19%
19%
62%
|
41 | 24 | 17 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2024 |
FKC
0 - 1
DVO
44%
23%
33%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | -1 |
| 25 Oct. 2023 |
FDV
2 - 6
FKC
10%
15%
75%
|
42 | 12 | 30 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2023 |
TIV
2 - 3
FKC
44%
22%
35%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | +2 |
| 18 Oct. 2023 |
FKC
2 - 5
KCC
63%
18%
19%
|
42 | 36 | 6 | -2 |